BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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S Illinois

Class: 1 Class Rank: 127 Conference: Missouri Valley Record: (15-7) Overall: (23-10) Overall Strength =   25.09

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Home    W    39.40  94  63    1 331 ( 10- 21) Ark Little Rock        14.31     16.69                      
  2 11-10-2022 Away    W    38.55  61  60    1  39 ( 16- 14) Oklahoma St            13.45    -12.45                      
  3 11-13-2022 Away    L     1.02  53  71    1 275 ( 16- 16) Southern Indiana      -24.08      6.08                      
  4 11-17-2022 Home    W    23.88  57  44    1 290 ( 18- 14) Tennessee St           -1.22     14.22                      
  5 11-21-2022 Neutral L    22.30  49  56    1  90 ( 18- 12) UNLV                   -2.79     -4.21                      
  6 11-23-2022 Neutral W    26.68  64  61 1  1 156 ( 16- 15) Cal Baptist             1.59      1.41                      
  7 11-30-2022 Away    W *  38.80  80  53    1 348 (  5- 27) Evansville             13.71     13.29                      
  8 12-03-2022 Away    L    17.21  72  85    1 109 ( 20- 11) Saint Louis            -7.88     -5.12                      
  9 12-07-2022 Home    L *  22.10  71  74    1  92 ( 22- 12) Indiana St             -3.00     -0.00                      
 10 12-10-2022 Home    W    18.95  74  68    1 252 ( 18- 12) Alcorn St              -6.14     12.14                      
 11 12-13-2022 Home    W    39.41  88  51   ZZ  46 (  1-  1) Lincoln MO             14.32     22.68                      
 12 12-16-2022 Home    W    21.85  63  52    1 297 ( 11- 20) Chicago St             -3.24     14.24                      
 13 12-21-2022 Away    W    22.40  70  68    1 255 ( 19- 16) SE Missouri St         -2.69      4.69                      
 14 12-29-2022 Away    W *  28.58  63  57    1 226 ( 17- 15) Murray St               3.49      2.51                      
 15 01-01-2023 Home    W *  39.93  63  45    1 122 ( 21- 11) Belmont                14.84      3.16                      
 16 01-04-2023 Home    W *  31.38  53  49    1  81 ( 26-  7) Drake                   6.29     -2.29                      
 17 01-07-2023 Away    L *  11.63  57  69    1 212 ( 14- 18) Northern Iowa         -13.46      1.46                      
 18 01-11-2023 Away    W *  39.85  69  61    1  92 ( 22- 12) Indiana St             14.75     -6.75                      
 19 01-14-2023 Home    W *  24.53  69  57    1 274 ( 11- 21) Illinois St            -0.56     12.56                      
 20 01-17-2023 Home    W *  13.05  78  70    1 348 (  5- 27) Evansville            -12.04     20.04                      
 21 01-21-2023 Away    W *  31.15  61  57    1 149 ( 17- 15) Missouri St             6.06     -2.06                      
 22 01-24-2023 Home    W *  19.83  68  64    1 226 ( 17- 15) Murray St              -5.26      9.26                      
 23 01-29-2023 Away    L *  13.28  66  72    1 274 ( 11- 21) Illinois St           -11.81      5.81                      
 24 02-01-2023 Away    L *  24.15  52  62    1  82 ( 25-  8) Bradley                -0.94     -9.06                      
 25 02-05-2023 Home    W *  40.40  73  53    1 149 ( 17- 15) Missouri St            15.30      4.70                      
 26 02-08-2023 Home    W *  13.31  68  66    1 294 ( 12- 20) IL Chicago            -11.78     13.78                      
 27 02-11-2023 Away    L *  11.13  59  82    1  81 ( 26-  7) Drake                 -13.96     -9.04                      
 28 02-14-2023 Away    W *  22.44  66  62    1 287 ( 11- 21) Valparaiso             -2.65      6.65                      
 29 02-19-2023 Home    L *  25.40  48  50    1  82 ( 25-  8) Bradley                 0.31     -2.31                      
 30 02-22-2023 Home    W *  39.88  86  63    1 212 ( 14- 18) Northern Iowa          14.78      8.22                      
 31 02-26-2023 Away    W *  21.06  68  65    1 294 ( 12- 20) IL Chicago             -4.03      7.03                      
 32 03-03-2023 Neutral W *  26.77  54  51    1 149 ( 17- 15) Missouri St             1.68      1.32                      
 33 03-04-2023 Neutral L *  17.76  52  65    1  81 ( 26-  7) Drake                  -7.34     -5.66                      
      Averages              25.09  65.7 61.4

Best game:   40.40 = 20 point win over Missouri St
Worst game:   1.02 = 18 point loss to Southern Indiana
Team stdev:  10.28